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According to Mark Thornton, we could be very close to another major economic crisis. Ten years have passed from the so-called Great Recession and Thornton's prediction confirms my view according to which business fluctuations are pervasive, and the crisis that emerged in the Western world in...
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Abstract We examine stability under learning of sunspot equilibria in Real Business Cycle type models with indeterminacies. Our analysis emphasizes the importance of examining alternative representations of sunspot solutions. A general bivariate reduced form contains parameter regions in which...
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change in expectations is documented using a novel source of information available in Google Trends, among other sources. It …
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, expectations of higher future productivity raise the demand for new vintages of capital relative to old capital. Capital …
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expectations and document a strong negative relationship. However, the link is much weaker in bad times, since uncertainty is then … persistently high - even when expectations are favorable. I continue by investigating the relative importance of uncertainty and … expectations for corporate decisions. Exploiting information on firms' investment and labor reactions to the COVID-19 crisis, I do …
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