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with a lag of at least three quarters, with inflation taking seven quarters to respond. Inflation is inertial and … persistent when it sets in, irrespective of the source. Exchange rate pass-through to domestic inflation is low. Inflation turns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646425
This paper analyzes the monetary policy response to rising inflation in emerging and developing countries associated … with the food and oil price shocks in 2007 and the first half of 2008. It reviews inflation developments in a sample of … of inflation; provides a synthesis of policy responses taken against the background of the conflicting objectives and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264056
The paper presents a DGE model designed as a core projection tool to support monetary policy in inflation-targeting (IT …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264004
inflation. The results also suggest that a disequilibrium in the money market has a lasting impact on inflation. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825934
Money has only limited information value for future inflation in Ghana over a typical monetary policy implementation …) are shown to be important predictors of future price changes. Inflation inertia is high and inflation expectations are … largely based on backward-looking information, suggesting that inflation expectations are not well anchored and hence more is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009370543
for establishing the other building blocks of an inflation targeting framework. It argues that strengthening the … effectiveness of the current monetary policy framework will facilitate the adoption of inflation targeting over time. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528707
This paper develops a small open economy dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium model with macrofinancial linkages. The model includes a financial accelerator--entrepreneurs are assumed to partially finance investment using domestic and foreign currency debt--to assess the importance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519498
This paper studies inflation dynamics during 25 historical episodes in advanced economies where output remained well …, underpinned by weak labor markets, slowing wage growth, and, in many cases, falling oil prices. Indeed, inflation declined by … about the same fraction of the initial inflation rate across episodes. That said, disinflation has tended to taper off at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646423
This paper provides a how-to guide to model-based forecasting and monetary policy analysis. It describes a simple structural model, along the lines of those in use in a number of central banks. This workhorse model consists of an aggregate demand (or IS) curve, a price-setting (or Phillips)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599522
The paper analyzes the dynamics of inflation in Guinea during 1992-2003 applying cointegration and error …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769114