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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014494806
publicly revealed does exert a disproportionate influence, and differences in the estimated signals determine the equilibrium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335955
This paper studies the effect of exchange rate pass-through on inflation in Tunisia for the period 2001 to 2009. The objective is to track inflation regimes for the Tunisian economy and to forecast its determinants. Using a Markov-switching approach, the authors identified two main regimes for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330077
This paper provides an empirical test of the scapegoat theory of exchange rates (Bacchetta and van Wincoop 2004, 2011), as an attempt to evaluate its potential for explaining the poor empirical performance of traditional exchange rate models. This theory suggests that market participants may at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605463
This paper considers how an investor in foreign exchange markets might exploit predictive information in macroeconomic fundamentals by allowing for switching between multivariate time series regression models. These models are chosen to reflect a wide array of established empirical and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011892028
There has been a steady growth of goodwill impairments in the Chinese stock market since the adoption of the impairment approach in accounting. The influence of goodwill impairments on a firm's financial position and profitability give reason to doubt its current and future performance. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012621062
Any non-stationary series can be decomposed into permanent (or "trend") and transitory (or "cycle") components. Typically some atheoretic pre-filtering procedure is applied to extract the permanent component. This paper argues that analysis of the fundamental underlying stationary economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005509631
dynamics for real exchange rates. The Markov switching part captures the effect of time variations of the equilibrium exchange … rates, while the smooth transition part models the nonlinear adjustment to the equilibrium. We describe the model and the … an effort to make sense of the switching equilibrium rates, we relate relevant macroeconomic variables, such as output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439271
This paper studies the effect of exchange rate pass-through on inflation in Tunisia over the period 2001-2009. The authors' objective is to track inflation regimes for the Tunisian economy and to forecast its determinants. Using a Markov-switching approach, the authors identified two main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310073
This paper provides an empirical test of the scapegoat theory of exchange rates (Bacchetta and van Wincoop 2004, 2011). This theory suggests that market participants may at times attach significantly more weight to individual economic fundamentals to rationalize the pricing of currencies, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312836