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because expected future cash-flow growth varies with the discount rates. The traditional Macaulay duration captures the effect … from the discount-rate channel. I propose a novel duration measure, the effective equity duration, to capture the effects … is hump-shaped because expected future cash flow growth increases with the discount rates. The effective equity duration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851441
polynomial duration model of Chambers and Carleton (Chambers, D.R., Carleton, W.T., 1988. A generalized approach to duration. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014050756
This paper illustrates the importance of density forecasting in portfolio decision making involving bonds of different maturities. The forecast performance of an atheoretic and a theory informed model of bond returns is evaluated. The decision making environment is fully described for an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003953018
Investors seek to hedge against interest rate risk by taking long or short positions on bonds ofdifferent maturities. We study changes in risk taking behavior in a low interest rateenvironment by estimating a market stochastic discount factor that is non-linear and thereforeconsistent with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836549
adjustments by long-term investors aimed at containing duration mismatches may have acted as an amplification mechanism in this … process. Declining long-term interest rates tend to widen the negative duration gap between the assets and liabilities of … insurers and pension funds, and any attempted rebalancing by increasing asset duration results in further downward pressure on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962082
We use supervisory data to investigate the ex-ante credit risk taken by different types of lenders in the U.S. syndicated term loan market during the LSAPs period. We fi nd that nonbank lenders, mutual funds and structured-fi nance vehicles, take higher risk when longer-term interest rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891192
The recent negative interest rate policy (NIRP) and quantitative easing (QE) programme by the ECB have raised concerns about the pass-through of monetary policy. On the one hand, negative rates could lead to declining bank profitability making an expansionary monetary policy contractionary....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892229
Since the financial crisis of 2008, risk-free interest rates are at historical lows and even turned negative in some developed countries. We study experimentally how such changes in the interest rate regime affect the risk-taking of individual investors. Keeping the risk premium constant, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899372
We use supervisory data to investigate risk taking in the U.S. syndicated loan market at a time when longer-term interest rates are exceptionally low, and we study the ex-ante credit risk of loans acquired by different types of lenders, including banks and shadow banks. We find that insurance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971007
This paper considers the application of multiple interest rate analysis to a model of the production of commodities by means of commodities. A polynomial, for the characteristic equation of the augmented input-output matrix, is used in defining the rate of profits in such a model. Only one root...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977407