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This paper analyses in a unified framework the twin issues of the appropriate horizon for achieving price stability in the face of unexpected disturbances and the choice of a price level versus an inflation objective. Using a small estimated forward-looking model of the euro area economy, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604070
Discretionary monetary policy produces a dynamic loss in the New Keynesian model in the presence of cost-push shocks. The possibility to commit to a specific policy rule can increase welfare. A number of authors since Woodford (1999) have argued in favour of a timeless perspective rule as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604763
, uncertainty about the regime makes policy more cautious. Third, a policymaker uncertain about the true stochastic properties of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706520
We study whether and how fiscal restrictions alter the business cycle features of macrovariables for a sample of 48 US states. We also examine the ”typical” transmission properties of fiscal disturbances and the implied fiscal rules of states with different fiscal restrictions. Fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005772224
Using a new survey of European households, we study how exogenous variation in the macroeconomic uncertainty perceived … macroeconomic uncertainty of some households. The effects on their spending decisions relative to an untreated control group are … measured in follow-up surveys. Higher macroeconomic uncertainty induces households to reduce their spending on non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012491975
compare these optimal rules against plausible alternatives. Model uncertainty is shown to be a substantial problem; the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604656
outline a novel model that considers the non-linear relationship between inattentiveness and aggregate uncertainty, which … crucially distinguishes between macro-economic and data ( measurement error) uncertainty. The empirical analysis uses the Survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272185
Using a new survey of firms in New Zealand, we document how exogenous variation in the macroeconomic uncertainty … macroeconomic uncertainty of some firms. The effects on their decisions relative to their initial plans as well as relative to an … technologies or open new facilities. These ex-post effects of uncertainty are similar to how firms say they would respond to higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013351988
Using a new survey of European households, we study how exogenous variation in the macroeconomic uncertainty perceived … macroeconomic uncertainty of some households. The effects on their spending decisions relative to an untreated control group are … measured in follow-up surveys. Higher macroeconomic uncertainty induces households to reduce their spending on non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605253
This paper aims an empirical investigation of uncertainty in the Euro Zone as well as the US. For this purpose I … conduct a factor analysis of uncertainty measures starting in 2001 until the end of 2011. I use survey-based data provided by … implied volatility of stock market movements. Each measure shows an increase in uncertainty during the last years marked by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010309039