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Focusing on the foreign exchange reaction to macroeconomic announcements, we show that fast trading is positively and significantly correlated with the entropy of the distribution of quoted prices in reaction to news: a larger share of fast trading increases the degree of diversity of quotes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037341
The aim of this paper is to investigate the market efficiency on the foreign exchange market since the introduction of the Euro by applying the cointegration analysis to exchange rates. The introduction of the Euro has changed the structure of the global foreign exchange market to the extent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003582754
The aim of the paper is to verify whether the USD/EUR exchange rate market is efficient. The fundamental parity condition for testing foreign exchange market efficiency is represented by the uncovered interest-rate parity (UIP). Therefore, the UIP hypothesis verification accounts for the crucial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009703828
This paper examines whether the 20072008 global financial crisis (GFC) played any role in changing the state of efficiency for the foreign exchange markets. For comparison purposes, I assess market efficiency based on the forward unbiasedness hypothesis (FUH) as well as the profitability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850147
We examine 112,792 daily candles using more than one million spot quotes among 24 currency pairs between 2000 and 2018. We find that chart patterns are profitable. Relying on these visually based patterns achieves returns of more than 600% after accounting for the transaction costs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012440320
In the present study, we investigate the market weak efficiency hypothesis (MEH) in the case of the Tunisian exchange market. For this aim, we use fractional cointegration tests based essentially on estimation of an error correction bivariate ARFIMA model. The cointegration tests are conducted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014063076
The Asia-Pacific region's currency markets are generally efficient within-country when tested using the Johansen (1991, 1995) cointegration technique whereas market efficiency fails to hold when tested using Fama's (1984) conventional regression. Using the Pilbeam and Olmo (2011) model, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114230
This study investigates the European foreign exchange markets efficiency from both the within- and across-country perspectives and subsequently compared them across several recent crises. The European foreign exchange markets are generally efficient over the whole sample period. From the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080111
We analyze the intertemporal stability of excess returns to technical trading rules in the foreign exchange market by conducting true, out-of-sample tests on previously studied rules. The excess returns of the 1970s and 1980s were genuine and not just the result of data mining. But these profit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159872
This paper examines the effects of a semi-transparency event, introduction of the electronic trading system (EBS), on the market quality of a typical dealership market - the FX market. We find that increasing transparency leads to lower market volatility and higher trading volume, but the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144870