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allowing for ``anticipation effects'' in response to ``news shocks'' enables standard RBC models to predict both the observed …This paper shows that negative comovements between major macroeconomic variables at business-cycle frequencies are … patterns of negative comovement and overall positive correlations. Anticipation also improves magnification of shocks in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008469770
conditions are fully anticipated provides evidence on the relevance of this alternative. We find that anticipation effects i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005040612
In this paper, a New-Keynesian DSGE model for a small open economy integrated in a monetary union is developed and estimated for the Portuguese economy, using a Bayesian approach. Estimates for some key structural parameters are obtained and a set of exercises exploring the model's statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149135
The dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models used to study business cycles typically assume that exogenous disturbances are independent first-order autoregressions. This paper relaxes this tight and arbitrary restriction by allowing for disturbances that have a rich contemporaneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003948805
It is well-established that the presence of deterministic and/or stochastic trends in DSGE models may imply that the agents' objective functions attain infinite values. This is the case even if the subjective discount factor is strictly less than one. Currently, sufficient conditions ensuring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012720847
We show how to implement a competitive search equilibrium in a fully-specified DSGE environment. Competitive search, an equilibrium concept well-understood in labor market theory, offers an alternative to the commonly-used Nash bargaining in search-based macro models. Our simulation-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724465
This paper investigates the effects of uncertainty on the macro economy by replicating its micro effects on individual subjective beliefs. In our model, the representative household has smooth ambiguity preferences and is uncertain about which scenario the economy will be in the next period:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364652
The sensitivity of U.S. aggregate investment to shocks is procyclical: the response upon impact increases by approximately 50% from the trough to the peak of the business cycle. This feature of the data follows naturally from a DSGE model with lumpy microeconomic capital adjustment. Beyond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217331
Microeconomic lumpiness matters for macroeconomics. According to our DSGE model, it explains roughly 60% of the smoothing in the investment response to aggregate shocks. The remaining 40% is explained by general equilibrium forces. The central role played by micro frictions for aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014057432
The authors report the results of the estimation of a rich dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the U.S. economy with both stochastic volatility and parameter drifting in the Taylor rule. They use the results of this estimation to examine the recent monetary history of the U.S. and to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143868