We study several methods of constructing confidence sets for the coefficient of the single right-hand-side endogenous variable in a linear equation with weak instruments. Two of these are based on conditional likelihood ratio (CLR) tests, and the others are based on inverting t statistics or the...

Bootstrap tests are tests for which the significance level is calculated by some sort of bootstrap procedure, which may be parametric or nonparametric. We show that, in many circumstances, the size distortion of a bootstrap P value for a test will be one whole order of magnitude smaller than...

This paper examines two explanations of the observed positive relationship between inflation rates and saving rates in Canada and the United States. Several models are estimated using quarterly time series data from both countries, and the best of these are subjected to a variety of tests. One...

We first propose procedures for estimating the rejection probabilities for bootstrap tests in Monte Carlo experiments without actually computing a bootstrap test for each replication. These procedures are only about twice as expensive as estimating rejection probabilities for asymptotic tersts....

Various versions of the wild bootstrap are studied as applied to regression models with heteroskedastic errors. We develop formal Edgeworth expansions for the error in the rejection probability (ERP) of wild bootstrap tests based on asymptotic t statistics computed with a heteroskedasticity...

We study several tests for the coefficient of the single right-hand-side endogenous variable in a linear equation estimated by instrumental variables. We show that writing all the test statistics -- Student's t, Anderson-Rubin, the LM statistic of Kleibergen and Moreira (K), and likelihood ratio...

Many specification tests can be computed by means of artificial linear regressions. These are linear regressions designed to be used as calculating devices to obtain test statistics and other quantities of interest. In this paper, we discuss the general principles which underlie all artificial...

We propose a wild bootstrap procedure for linear regression models estimated by instrumental variables. Like other bootstrap procedures that we have proposed elsewhere, it uses efficient estimates of the reduced-form equation(s). Unlike them, it takes account of possible heteroskedasticity of...

We first propose two procedures for estimating the rejection probabilities of bootstrap tests in Monte Carlo experiments without actually computing a bootstrap test for each replication. These procedures are only about twice as expensive (per replication) as estimating rejection probabilities...

We propose several Lagrange Multiplier tests of logit and probit models, which may be inexpensively computed by artificial linear regressions. These may be used to test for omitted variables and heteroskedasticity. We argue that one of these tests is likely to have better small-sample...