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This paper examines the empirical significance of learning, a type of adaptive, boundedly rational expectations, in the … accumulation. Estimation results for learning models can be sensitive to the choice for the initial conditions for agents … conditions with the other parameters of the model. Maximum likelihood results show that learning under all methods for initial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005727869
learning is sensitive to the stance taken on agents beliefs at the beginning of the sample. The New Keynesian model is … estimated under rational expectations and under learning with three different frameworks for how expectations are set at the … post-war United States. The results indicate statistical evidence for adaptive learning, however the rational expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005227046
learning is sensitive to the stance taken on agents beliefs at the beginning of the sample. The New Keynesian model is … estimated under rational expectations and under learning with three different frameworks for how expectations are set at the … post-war United States. The results indicate statistical evidence for adaptive learning, however the rational expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217375
have rational expectations, but instead form expectations through least squares learning with an endogenously changing … learning gain. It has been suggested that this type of endogenously changing learning mechanism can create periods of excess … large variances for structural shocks, and the other state has relatively smaller variances. To assess whether learning can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218438
Two approaches are considered to incorporate judgment in DSGE models. First, Bayesian estimation indirectly imposes judgment via priors on model parameters, which are then mapped into a judgmental interest rate decision. Standard priors are shown to be associated with highly unrealistic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422066
Two approaches are considered to incorporate judgment in DSGE models. First, Bayesian estimation indirectly imposes judgment via priors on model parameters, which are then mapped into a judgmental interest rate decision. Standard priors are shown to be associated with highly unrealistic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216402
Existing methods for estimating nonlinear dynamic models are either highly computationally costly or rely on local approximations which often fail adequately to capture the nonlinear features of interest. I develop a new method, the discretization filter, for approximating the likelihood of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013189748
Existing methods for estimating nonlinear dynamic models are either highly computationally costly or rely on local approximations which often fail adequately to capture the nonlinear features of interest. I develop a new method, the discretization filter, for approximating the likelihood of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012432773
Does time-varying business volatility affect the price setting of firms and thus the transmission of monetary policy into the real economy? To address this question, we estimate from the firm-level micro data of the German IFO Business Climate Survey the impact of idiosyncratic volatility on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317285
We incorporate inequity aversion into an otherwise standard New Keynesian dynamic equilibrium model with Calvo wage contracts and positive inflation. Workers with relatively low incomes experience envy, whereas those with relatively high incomes experience guilt. The former seek to raise their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009530187