Showing 41 - 50 of 11,019
The Dutch book argument is a coherence condition for the existence of subjective probabilities. This note gives a general framework of analysis for this argument in a nonadditive probability setting. Particular cases are given by comonotonic and affinely related Dutch books that lead to Choquet...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005135391
Are foundations of models of ambiguity-sensitive preferences too flawed to be usefully applied to economic models?  Al-Najjar and Weinstein (2009) say such is indeed the case.  In this paper, first, we point out that many of the key arguments by Al-Najjar and Weinstein do not apply to quite a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999235
A decision maker is characterized by two binary relations. The first reflects decisions that are rational in an “objective” sense: the decision maker can convince others that she is right in making them. The second relation models decisions that are rational in a “subjective” sense: the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094081
This paper proposes a model of the decision-maker’s confidence in his probability judgements, in terms of an implausibility measure – a real-valued function on the set of probability functions. A decision rule is axiomatised according to which the decision-maker evaluates acts using sets of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005041794
This paper considers an exchange economy under uncertainty with asymmetric information. Uncertainty is represented by multiple priors and posteriors of agents who have either Bewley's incomplete preferences or Gilboa-Schmeidler's maximin expected utility preferences. The main results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005422908
In this paper, we provide an axiomatic characterization of social welfare functions for uncertain incomes. Our most general result is that a small number of reasonable assumptions regarding welfare orderings under uncertainty rule out pure ex ante as well as pure ex post evaluations. Any social...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005427046
We develop an axiomatic approach to decision under uncertainty that explicitly takes into account the information available to the decision maker. The information is described by a set of priors and a reference prior. We define a notion of imprecision for this informational setting and show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005577352
The nonexistence of equilibria in models of electoral competition involving multiple issues is one of the more puzzling results in political economics. In this paper, we relax the standard assumption that parties act as expected utility maximizers. We show that equilibria often exist when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008614921
We investigate American options in a multiple prior setting of continuous time and determine optimal exercise strategies form the perspective of an ambiguity averse buyer. The multiple prior setting relaxes the presumption of a known distribution of the stock price process and captures the idea...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009021590
In Ghirardato, Macheroni and MArcinaccri (GMM) propose a method for distinguishing between percieved ambiguity and the decision-maker's reaction to it. They study a general class of preferences which includes CEU and a-MEU and axiomatise a subclass of a-MEU preferences. We show that for Hurwicz...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008852487