In this paper, we consider an incomplete market framework and explain how to use jointly observed prices of the underlying asset and of some derivatives written on this assetfor an efficient pricing of other derivatives. This question involves two types of moment restrictions, which can be...

In this paper we explain how to use rating histories provided by the internal scoring systems of banks and by rating agencies in order to predict the future risk of a set of borrowers. The method is developed following the steps suggested by the Basle Committee. To introduce both migration...

In this paper we provide a convenient econometric framework for the analy-sis of nonlinear dependence in financial applications. We introduce models withconstrained nonparametric dependence, which specify the conditional distrib-ution or the copula in terms of a one-dimensional functional...

The aim of this paper is to extend the results of Jarrow, Yu (2001) onthe spread term structures of corporate bonds. We first consider differentcharacterisations of these term structures, when the available informationcorresponds to the default histories of the firms. The approach is then...

This paper deals with asymptotically efficient estimation in exchangeable nonlinear dynamicpanel models with common unobservable factor. These models are especially relevantfor applications to large portfolios of credits, corporate bonds, or life insurance contracts, andare recommended in the...

The recursive prediction and filtering formulas of the Kalman filter are difficult to implementin nonlinear state space models. For Gaussian linear state space models, or for models with qualitativestate variables, the recursive formulas of the filter require the updating of a finite number...

We consider an homogeneous class of assets, whose returns are driven by an unobservablefactor. We derive approximated prediction and pricing formulas for the future factorvalues and their proxies, when the size n of the class is large. Up to order 1=n, these approximationsinvolve solely...

We develop a new methodology to analyse the dynamics of liquidation risk dependence in the hedge funds industry. This dependence results either from a common exogenous factor, or from conta- gion phenomena caused by an endogenous behaviour of fund managers. Our empirical analysis shows that the...

This paper studies the term structure implications of a simple structural economy in which the representative agent displays ambiguity aversion, modeled by Multiple Priors Recursive Utility. Bond excess returns reflect a premium for ambiguity, which is observationally distinct from the risk...

We study the asymptotic properties of a Tikhonov Regularized (TiR) estimator of a functional parameter based on a minimum distance principle for nonparametric conditional moment restrictions. The estimator is computationally tractable and takes a closed form in the linear case. We derive its...