We study a number of large international military conflicts sinceWorld War II where we establish a news analysis as a proxy for theestimated likelihood that the conflict will result in a war. We findthat in cases when there is a pre-war phase, an increase in the warlikelihood tends to decrease...

This paper examines the puzzlingly high unexploited momentum returns from a new perspective.We analyze characteristics of momentum traders in a sample of 692 fund managers. Wefind that momentum traders are “defined” by their short-term horizon, by a behavioural viewon the market and by a...

We conducted a survey on risk perception of investment products in the German-speakingarea of Switzerland. Unlike the typical two-factor structure documented in the previousliterature, we found that the knowledge-related scales were highly correlated with the riskrelatedscales, whereas the...

This research examines the long-run Initial Public Offerings (IPO) stock performance of a large Chinese sample, and in particular the relationship between initial reserves (capital reserves and revenue reserves immediately after the IPO) and long-run IPO stock performance. In general, Chinese...

We examine the relation between an ex ante measure of IPO growth prospects – the industry-level long-term analyst earnings growth forecast – and short- and long-run IPO returns, using a sample of 7,570 IPOs from 1982 to 2007. The use of an industry-level, rather than firm-level growth...

Extant research on developed markets shows that investor sentiment is a prominent feature in IPO grey markets. There is sparse work in the context of emerging markets. We fill this lacuna by studying the working of the Indian IPO market. We consider this work interesting and relevant for the...

The unique characteristics of the U.S. initial public offer (IPO) process, particularly the strict quiet period regulations, allow us to explore the effects of media coverage when the coverage does not contain genuine news (i.e., hard information that was previously unknown). We show that a...

This study tests speculative bubble theory, which assumes investors' heterogeneous beliefs and short-sale constraints, as a potential explanation for the long-run underperformance of initial public offerings (IPOs). The prediction of speculative bubble theory is difficult to test directly...

The literature suggests that voluntary IPO lockups (thereafter lockups) have both roles as a commitment device to control moral hazard and a signaling device to minimize asymmetric information. Using a hand collected data on lockups in China from 2006 to 2012, this paper disentangles the two...

The market for unseasoned equity has the unusual and distinguishing feature of periods of concentrated activity in terms of both volume and underpricing. This paper formally documents the existence of such periods using a regime-switching model that dates transitions between hot and cold states....