This paper demonstrates that an asset pricing model with least-squares learning can lead to bubbles and crashes as endogenous responses to the fundamentals driving asset prices. When agents are risk-averse they need to make forecasts of the conditional variance of a stock¡¯s return....

This paper examines how monetary expansion causes asset bubbles. When there is no monetary expansion, a bubbly asset is not created due to a hold-up problem. Monetary expansion increases buyers' money holdings, and then, dealers are willing to buy a worthless asset from sellers, in hopes of...

This paper shows that belief‐driven economic fluctuations are a general feature of many determinate macroeconomic models. In environments with hidden state variables, forecast‐model misspecification can break the link between indeterminacy and sunspots by establishing the existence of...

This Paper, which extends earlier work by Filardo and Guinigundo (2008) and Nelson (2008), reports on a survey conducted in 2007 on the communication practices of 32 members of the Central Bank Governance Network. The questionnaire sent to Network members was divided into two main parts. The...

We examine howthe verbal complexity of ECB communications affectsfi-nancial market trading based on high-frequency data fromEuropean stock index futures trading. Studying the 34 events between May 2009 and June 2017, during which the ECB Governing Council press conferences covered unconventional...

UK government bond yields rise significantly in a two-day window before Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meetings, with the majority of this yield drift attributed to increases in risk premia. These effects concentrate in pre-MPC windows that coincide with issuance of UK government bonds....

We empirically examine how complexity of ECB communications affects financial market trading based on high-frequency data from European stock index futures trading. Our sam-ple covers ECB press conferences between January 2009 and December 2017, during which unconventional monetary policy...

The stock market volume decreases in anticipation of FOMC announcements and increases afterward. I find, in the cross-section, that stocks with higher market risk exposure experience greater volume changes. I also find that volume dynamics around FOMC announcements are unlikely to be...

Das zweite Kapitel trägt den Titel "Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interaction in a World with Heterogeneous Expectations."' Ein weiteres mal ist der Untersuchungsgegenstand die Fähigkeit einer Zentralbank, mittels Zinspolitik Preisstabilität in einer Ökonomie mit heterogenen Erwartungen...