Boschi, Melisso; Pieroni, Luca - Dipartimento di Economia, Università degli Studi di Perugia - 2008
We propose and test a structural model of the interaction between the aluminium market and the macroeconomy incorporating the rational expectations hypothesis. Based on a competition à la Cournot, our model predicts that aluminium spot price and inventories will respond to macroeconomic shocks...