This paper analyses how many euro coins outflow from Germany and which composition of coins is to be expected in the long run. To this end, a simple mathematical model is formulated and calibrated for €1 coins. The introduction of the euro coins in 2002 presented a unique opportunity to...

This paper analyses how many euro coins outflow from Germany and which composition of coins is to be expected in the long run. To this end, a simple mathematical model is formulated and calibrated for €1 coins. The introduction of the euro coins in 2002 presented a unique opportunity to...

Das vorliegende Papier beschäftigt sich mit der Frage, wie viele ausländische Euro-Münzen pro Tag in ein Euro-Land einströmen. Dafür formulieren wir ein kleines formalmathematisches Modell, das wir für den Fall Deutschlands und 1-Euro-Münzen kalibrieren. Die Einführung der Euro-Münzen...

Das vorliegende Papier beschäftigt sich mit der Frage, wie viele ausländische Euro-Münzen pro Tag in ein Euro-Land einströmen. Dafür formulieren wir ein kleines formalmathematisches Modell, das wir für den Fall Deutschlands und 1-Euro-Münzen kalibrieren. Die Einführung der Euro-Münzen...

This paper analyses how many euro coins outflow from Germany and which composition of coins is to be expected in the long run. To this end, a simple mathematical model is formulated and calibrated for €1 coins. The introduction of the euro coins in 2002 presented a unique opportunity to...

There is a broad consensus among economists that, in the long run, inflation is a monetary phenomenon. However, monetary policy is often analysed using models that have no causal role for monetary aggregates in the propagation of inflationary processes. Moreover, impulses from monetary policy...

This paper discusses methods to quantify risk and uncertainty in macroeconomic forecasts. Both, parametric and non-parametric procedures are developed. The former are based on a class of asymmetrically weighted normal distributions whereas the latter employ asymmetric bootstrap simulations. Both...