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In this paper we discuss the calibration of models built on mean-reverting processes combined with Markov regime-switching (MRS). We propose a method that greatly reduces the computational burden induced by the introduction of independent regimes and perform a simulation study to test its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323907
We calibrate Markov regime-switching (MRS) models to mean daily spot prices from the EEX market. Our empirical study shows that (i) models with shifted spike regime distributions lead to more realistic models of electricity spot prices and that (ii) introducing heteroskedasticity in the base...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014200680
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009687984
wind power process, such as heteroscedasticity and nonlinearity, we also investigate the use of a Markov regime …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335465
wind power process, such as heteroscedasticity and nonlinearity, we also investigate the use of a Markov regime …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529342
We calibrate Markov regime-switching (MRS) models to mean daily spot prices from the EEX market. Our empirical study shows that (i) models with shifted spike regime distributions lead to more realistic models of electricity spot prices and that (ii) introducing heteroskedasticity in the base...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015219158
One of the most profound features of electricity spot prices are the price spikes. Markov regime-switching (MRS) models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015220299
One of the most profound features of electricity spot prices are the price spikes. Markov regime-switching (MRS) models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015220359
One of the most profound features of electricity spot prices are the price spikes. Markov regime-switching (MRS) models … only does it allow for consecutive spikes or price drops, which is consistent with market observations, but also exhibits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015221749
pattern are usually quite sensitive to extreme observations, known as electricity price spikes. Improved robustness of the … observations on model estimation and on determining the number of spikes (outliers). In particular we compare results for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015232387