This paper presents the most comprehensive out-of-U.S.-sample examination of information variables and equity premium predictability by focusing on Canada to reassess the growing U.S.-based evidence casting doubt on predictability. Using monthly data for 36 variables from 1950 to 2013, we test...

Mutual funds in the same category compete in a series of annual tournaments for a place at the top of year-end performance-based rankings. One effect implies that losing funds increase their risk more than winning funds, hoping to climb in the rankings. Another effect involves a rational...