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The accurate (exact) prediction of tax revenue is a very important task for state budget planning. Both underestimation and overestimation of the planned revenue could cause problems in case the revenue is used to finance government functions. In the past few years planning of profit tax revenue...
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Currency exchange rate forecasting is a subject that concerns many parties that participate in foreign exchange market … significant variance equation coefficient and the lowest Schwartz Criterion value were selected for forecasting. One-step ahead …, out-of-sample forecasting was carried out for USD/EUR and GBP/JPY currency pairs. Forecasting results show that GARCH …
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This document gives a detailed account of the current version of the Hungarian Quarterly Projection Model (NEM). It describes the main building blocks, presents the forecast performance of the model and, finally, it illustrates the responses to the most important shocks the Hungarian economy may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322393
This document gives a detailed account of the current version of the Hungarian Quarterly Projection Model (NEM). It describes the main building blocks, presents the forecast performance of the model and, finally, it illustrates the responses to the most important shocks the Hungarian economy may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005357933
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The paper compares one-period ahead forecasting performance of linear vector-autoregressive (VAR) models and single … single-equation MS models tend to perform slightly better than linear VAR models when no leading information is available … than linear VAR models. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008643973