Showing 1 - 10 of 365
In the framework of small-scale agent-based financial market models, the paper starts out from the concept of structural stochastic volatility, which derives from different noise levels in the demand of fundamentalists and chartists and the time-varying market shares of the two groups. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009018206
We develop a simple behavioral macro model to study interactions between the real economy and the stock market. The real economy is represented by a Keynesian goods market approach while the setup for the stock market includes heterogeneous speculators. Using a mixture of analytical and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009646508
In this paper we integrate heterogeneous inflation expectations into a simple monetary model. Guided by empirical evidence we assume that boundedly rational agents, selecting between extrapolative and regressive forecasting rules to predict the future inflation rate, prefer rules that have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534153
We develop a simple model of a speculative housing market in which the demand for houses is influenced by expectations about future housing prices. Guided by empirical evidence, agents rely on extrapolative and regressive forecasting rules to form their expectations. The relative importance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534174
We develop an agent-based financial market model in which agents follow technical and fundamental trading rules to determine their speculative investment positions. A central feature of our model is that we consider direct interactions between speculators due to which they may decide to change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534184
We develop a novel financial market model in which the stock markets of two countries are linked via and with the foreign exchange market. To be precise, there are domestic and foreign speculators in each of the two stock markets which rely either on linear technical or linear fundamental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009018208
In the framework of small-scale agent-based financial market models, the paper starts out from the concept of structural stochastic volatility, which derives from different noise levels in the demand of fundamentalists and chartists and the time-varying market shares of the two groups. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010304673
The paper proposes an elementary agent-based asset pricing model that, invoking the two trader types of fundamentalists and chartists, comprises four features: (i) price determination by excess demand; (ii) a herding mechanism that gives rise to a macroscopic adjustment equation for the market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010307867
With the help of two examples, we illustrate the usefulness of agent-based models as a tool for economic policy design. In our first example, we apply a financial market model in which the order flow of speculators, relying on technical and fundamental analysis, generates intricate price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310710
In the framework of small-scale agent-based financial market models, the paper starts out from the concept of structural stochastic volatility, which derives from different noise levels in the demand of fundamentalists and chartists and the time-varying market shares of the two groups. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009007642