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According to several empirical studies, the Present Value model fails to explain the behaviour of stock prices in the long-run. In this paper, the authors consider the possibility that a linear cointegrated regression model with multiple structural changes would provide a better empirical...
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In this article, we use tests of explosive behavior in real house prices with annual data for the case of Australia for the period 1870-2020. The main contribution of this paper is the use of very long time series. It is important to use longer span data because it offers more powerful...
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In this paper we provide a formal test of Barro's tax-smoothing model, using Spanish data covering the period 1850-2022. First, we found that the tax-tilting component has been very important for the Spanish government and is a symptom of the existence of a public deficit bias that has existed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015069985
This paper analyzes the dynamics of the Spanish public debt-GDP ratio during the period 1850-2021. We use recent procedures to test for explosive bubbles under the presence of time-varying volatility (Harvey, Leybourne, Sollis and Taylor, 2016; Harvey, Leybourne and Zu, 2019, 2020; Kurozumi, Skorobotov...
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