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"The labour-market policy-mix in Germany is increasingly being decided on a regional level. This requires additional knowledge about the regional development which (disaggregated) national forecasts cannot provide. Therefore, we separately forecast employment for the 176 German labour- market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132546
Die Arbeitslosigkeit für die 176 deutschen administrativen Arbeitsmarktregionen (im Allgemeinen Arbeitsagenturbezirke) wird auf einer monatlichen Basis prognostiziert. Wegen ihrer geringen Größe existieren zwischen diesen regionalen Einheiten starke räumliche Interdependenzen. Um diese und...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003874058
"We forecast unemployment for the 176 German labour-market districts on a monthly basis. Because of their small size, strong spatial interdependencies exist between these regional units. To account for these as well as for the heterogeneity in the regional development over time, we apply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537154
Problems associated with employment have become a major issue in regional economics, especially in those countries, such as Spain, where unemployment represents a serious threat to regional stability. In this context, the purpose of our paper is twofold: first, to develop a prediction instrument...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014200966
There is an ongoing debate on whether certain sector structures enhance regional employment growth. Often, regional policies promote clusters and, hence, regional specialisation. It is commonly believed that clusters boost regional economic performance. However, in the present manuscript a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009425227
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In this paper, we present a review of various computational experiments concerning neural network (NN) models developed for regional employment forecasting. NNs are nowadays widely used in several fields because of their flexible specification structure. A series of NN experiments is presented...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014191043
Three previous crises in Russia were different, the crisis outbreak also has its sectoral and spatial features. Employment risks are the highest in the sectors of market related services (over 10 million employees). High risks in unemployment are immanent to federal cities and regions with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834099