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crisis to East Asian countries, including Thailand. The international trade literature points out that trade concentration is … considered to be an important factor in the amplification of the effects of the crisis. Thailand was still greatly affected by … find that Thailand still has high exposure to the G3 markets. Simulation using the CGE model has also confirmed that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009512188
Despite performing very positively on some key macroeconomic indicators in recent years, the German economy is in grave disequilibrium if the high current account surplus is included in the analysis. The paper scrutinises the evolution of Germany's external surplus since the inception of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927093
We construct a new database which covers production and trade in 136 primary commodities and 24 manufacturing and service sectors for 145 countries. Using this new more granular data, we estimate spillover effects from plausible trade fragmentation scenarios in a new multi-country, multi-sector,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358436
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260005
This paper presents empirical evidence on the diversification process concerning Polish exports (1994-2010), compared to European and global samples of countries. It analyzes both the commodity structure of Polish trade and the geographical diversification of Poland's trading partners. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011802050
This paper proposes a technique to decompose short-run fluctuations in the terms of trade. Using Ethiopia as an example, we decompose the commodity terms of trade into various components to measure the impact of price and volume shifts as well as export diversification. We use monthly data from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008662902
This paper examines the role of U.S. monetary policy in determining the incidence of emerging market crises. A negative binomial count model and a panel logit model are estimated to analyze the determinants of currency crises, banking crises, and sovereign defaults in a group of 27 emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986221
We explore whether the global financial crisis has had heterogeneous effects on traded goods differentiated by quality. Combining a dataset of Argentinean firm-level destination-specific wine exports with quality ratings, we show that higher quality exports grew faster before the crisis, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010482
We explore the heterogeneous effects of the global financial crisis on international trade flows differentiated by quality. Combining a dataset of Argentinean firm-level destination-specific wine exports with experts quality ratings, we show that higher quality exports collapsed more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988468
We explore whether the global financial crisis has had heterogeneous effects on traded goods differentiated by quality. Combining a dataset of Argentinean firm-level destination-specific wine exports with quality ratings, we show that higher quality exports grew faster before the crisis, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996075