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Predicting birth-rates through German micro-census data : a comparison of probit and Boolean regression
Hufnagel, Rainer (contributor) - 2008
Boolean Regression. The data forming the basis for this investigation are from the German Micro-census waves of 1996 2002 and … comprise about 400 000 observations. Boolean Regression is used to predict how birth events depend on the socio …-economic characteristics of women and their male partners. Boolean Regression is compared to Probit. The data set is split into two halves in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003729733
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A Unified Approach to Mortality Modelling Using State-Space Framework : Characterisation, Identification, Estimation and Forecasting
Fung, Simon Man Chung - 2016
This paper explores and develops alternative statistical representations and estimation approaches for dynamic mortality models. The framework we adopt is to reinterpret popular mortality models such as the Lee-Carter class of models in a general state-space modelling methodology, which allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012990764
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The Evolution of Secularization : Cultural Transmission, Religion and Fertility Theory, Simulations and Evidence
Bar-El, Ronen - 2010
This study presents an evolutionary process of secularization that integrates a theoretical model, simulations, and an empirical estimation that employs data from 32 countries (included in the International Social Survey Program: Religion II – ISSP, 1998). Following Bisin and Verdier (2000,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141739
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The effect of children on the level of labor market involvement of married women : what is the role of education?
Troske, Kenneth R.; Voicu, Alexandru - 2009
We analyze the way women's education influences the effect of children on their level of labor market involvement. We propose an econometric model that accounts for the endogeneity of labor market and fertility decisions, for the heterogeneity of the effects of children and their correlation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826112
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The effect of the timing and spacing of births on the level of labor market involvement of married women
Troske, Kenneth R.; Voicu, Alexandru - 2009
We use panel data from NLSY79 to analyze the effects of the timing and spacing of births on the labor supply of married women in a framework that accounts for the endogeneity of labor market and fertility decisions, the heterogeneity of the effects of children and their correlation with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898126
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The Effect of the Timing and Spacing of Births on the Level of Labor Market Involvement of Married Women
Troske, Kenneth R. - 2009
We use panel data from NLSY79 to analyze the effects of the timing and spacing of births on the labor supply of married women in a framework that accounts for the endogeneity of labor market and fertility decisions, the heterogeneity of the effects of children and their correlation with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155577
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Joint Estimation of Sequential Labor Force Participation and Fertility Decisions Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo Techniques
Troske, Kenneth R.; Voicu, Alexandru - 2021
In this paper we estimate the causal effect of children on the labor supply of women using panel data on women from the 1979 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY79). We examine the effect of children both prior to and after birth as well as how the effect of children varies with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319106
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A principal component simulation of age-specific fertility : impacts of family and social policy on reproductive behavior in Germany
Vanella, Patrizio; Deschermeier, Philipp - 2018
This contribution proposes a simulation approach for the indirect estimation of age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) and the total fertility rate (TFR) for Germany via time series modeling of the principal components of the ASFRs. The model accounts for cross-correlation and autocorrelation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860247
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Cohort Effects in Mortality Modelling : A Bayesian State-Space Approach
Fung, Simon Man Chung - 2019
Cohort effects are important factors in determining the evolution of human mortality for certain countries. Extensions of dynamic mortality models with cohort features have been proposed in the literature to account for these factors under the generalised linear modelling framework. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902374
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Cohort Effects in Mortality Modelling : A Bayesian State-Space Approach
Fung, Simon Man Chung - 2019
Cohort effects are important factors in determining the evolution of human mortality for certain countries. Extensions of dynamic mortality models with cohort features have been proposed in the literature to account for these factors under the generalised linear modelling framework. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899554