Showing 1 - 10 of 115
This paper is intended as a guide to building insurance risk (loss) models. A typical model for insurance risk, the so-called collective risk model, treats the aggregate loss as having a compound distribution with two main components: one characterizing the arrival of claims and another...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323912
In this paper we discuss the calibration of models built on mean-reverting processes combined with Markov regime-switching (MRS). We propose a method that greatly reduces the computational burden induced by the introduction of independent regimes and perform a simulation study to test its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323907
We develop a simple test for deviations from power law tails, which is based on the asymptotic properties of the empirical distribution function. We use this test to answer the question whether great natural disasters, financial crashes or electricity price spikes should be classified as dragon...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323909
In this paper, we present a procedure for consistent estimation of the severity and frequency distributions based on incomplete insurance data and demonstrate that ignoring the thresholds leads to a serious underestimation of the ruin probabilities. The event frequency is modelled with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003621
Property Claim Services (PCS) provides indices for losses resulting from catastrophic events in the US. In this paper we study these indices and take a closer look at distributions underlying insurance claims. Surprisingly, the lognormal distribution seems to give a better fit than the Paretian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003628
A typical model for insurance risk, the so-called collective risk model, has two main components: one characterizing the frequency (or incidence) of events and another describing the severity (or size or amount) of gain or loss resulting from the occurrence of an event. Here we focus on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009004194
This paper is intended as a guide to building insurance risk (loss) models. A typical model for insurance risk, the so-called collective risk model, treats the aggregate loss as having a compound distribution with two main components: one characterizing the arrival of claims and another...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008663370
The classical financial models are based on the standard Brownian diffusion-type processes. However, in exhibition of some real market data (like interest or exchange rates) we observe characteristic periods of constant values. Moreover, in the case of financial data, the assumption of normality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323910
The ruin probability in finite time can only be calculated analytically for a few special cases of the claim amount distribution. The most classic example is discussed in Section 1.2. The value can always be computed directly using Monte Carlo simulations, however, this is usually a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323913
In this paper we establish a spectral representation of any symmetric stable self-similar process in terms of multiplicative flows and cocycles. Applying the Lamperti transformation we obtain a unique decomposition of a symmetric stable self-similar process into three independent parts: mixed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003605