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This paper presents a toolkit1 for generating optimal policy projections. It makes five contributions. First, the toolkit requires a minimal set of inputs: only a baseline projection for target and instrument variables and impulse responses of those variables to policy shocks. Second, it solves...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519365
The optimal control literature traditionally analyzes linear-quadratic Gaussian (LQG) formulations of macroeconomic policy design where policy planers seek to minimize the distance between a direct target vector y and a vector of aspiration levels y*, using a suitably dimensioned matrix M as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403661
We propose a novel framework to gauge the credibility of central banks' commitment to an inflation-targeting regime …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013468210
We use three different indicators based on inflation expectations to measure central bank credibility in 9 countries in … Central and Eastern Europe. We quantify credibility using differences between official inflation targets and inflation … expectations as well as differences between inflation expectations and implicit targets based on estimation of the Taylor rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391669
The design of monetary policy depends upon the targeting strategy adopted by the central bank. This strategy describes a set of policy preferences, which are actually the structural parameters to analyse monetary policy making. Accordingly, we develop a novel calibration method to identify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011594051
using existing macroeconomic models by modifying expectations about policy announcements. The main advantage of our method … incorporate information about future interest rate announcements: "inattention", "credibility", "finite planning horizon", and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241145
This paper replicates the main analysis of Svensson (2015) with some expansion to the original analysis, mainly for the United States. Overall, the replication exercise successfully confirms the conclusions of Svensson (2015). In both Sweden and the United States, empirical evidence sup- ports...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179358
extent to which inflation expectations are formed by the announced targets. As the credibility of the central bank increases … expectation in emerging economies. The findings denote that credibility is quite relevant to reduce inflation expectations and … inflation targeting system is inflation expectations. The success of a central bank in achieving targets depends on to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012548972
On 4 March 2011, SUERF – The European Money and Finance Forum and the National Bank of Poland jointly organised a conference on the theme of: "Monetary Policy after the Crisis". Following a call for papers with a large number of submissions, the scientific committee selected 9 papers, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710723
Although the concept of monetary policy lag has historical roots deep in the monetary economics literature, relatively little attention has been paid to the idea. In this paper, we build on Svensson's (1997) inflation targeting framework by explicitly taking into account the lagged effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790614