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In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397709
In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395968
This paper examines whether macroeconomic instability can influence stock market volatility in a sample of 5 emerging European countries. To account for the effects of fundamentals, modified ARCH/GARCH models are employed. The results are discordant from one country to another, but when a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491491
This paper examines whether macroeconomic instability can influence stock market volatility in a sample of 5 emerging European countries. To account for the effects of fundamentals, modified ARCH/GARCH models are employed. The results are discordant from one country to another, but when a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010492726
In the past twenty years, measures of economic uncertainty have been developed that are either purely market price-based, structural model-based using data on real fundamentals and asset prices, text-based, or survey-based. We compare the performance of these uncertainty measures in forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294567
Using causal graphs, this paper develops a simple check to uncover the direction of the causal link between economic policy uncertainty and stock market volatility. The check is applied to monthly data for 22 countries. The results imply that uncertainty is an instantaneous cause of stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370151
This paper investigates the impact of introducing index futures trading on the volatility of the underlying stock market. We exploit a unique institutional setting in which presumably uninformed individuals are the dominant trader type in the futures markets. This enables us to investigate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008471775
The main aim of this research is to examine the effect that political elections have on stock prices on the Macedonian Stock Exchange Index MBI 10. Our paper strains to imply the existence of problems due to political uncertainties of the efficient market hypothesis. The methodology used for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984759
In a production economy with trade in financial markets motivated by the desire to share labor-income risk and to speculate, we show that speculation increases volatility of asset returns and investment growth, increases the equity risk premium, and reduces welfare. Regulatory measures, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435502
COVID-19 has quickly emerged as a novel risk, generating feverish behavior among investors, and posing unprecedented challenges for policymakers. The empirical analysis provides evidence for a significant negative effect on stock markets of COVID-19-related measures announced in the Euro Area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252873