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In this paper, we consider a decision-maker who tries to learn the distribution of outcomes from previously observed cases. For each observed database of cases the decision-maker predicts a set of priors expressing his beliefs about the underlying probability distribution. We impose a version of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270218
The α-MEU model and the smooth ambiguity model are two popular models in decision making under ambiguity. However, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012670885
Are foundations of models of ambiguity-sensitive preferences too flawed to be usefully applied to economic models?  Al …-Najjar and Weinstein do not apply to quite a few of the ambiguity preference models of more recent vintage, and therefore to that … extent do not undermine the foundational aspects or applicability of ambiguity models in general.  Second, we argue the focus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999235
Although much of the theoretical literature on ambiguity works under the assumption of uncertainty aversion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012266826
The α-MEU model and the smooth ambiguity model are two popular models in decision making under ambiguity. However, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422419
In this paper I want to describe one way of thinking about information. In effect, this paper relates to the notion that organizational or societal models of economic equilibrium incorporate a decision-making mechanism that is influenced by the independent judgment of each individual. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015215204
The present state of world economy urges managers to look for new methods, which can help to start the economic growth. To achieve this goal, managers use standard as well as new procedures. The fundamental prerequisite of the efficient decision-making processes are actual and right information....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015224654
The study here reviews the institutional structure of the Sudanese government. Truly, though it is stigmatized as totalitarian, the structure is phenotypically perfect. Ministry of Ministries council is supposed to cater for analyzing data concerning ministries performance, drawing strategic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015229131
Government interventions to limit the spread of the COVID-19 disease have decreased mobility, which, in turn, impacts aggregate economic activity. Understanding mobility during the COVID-19 pandemic may serve as a proxy for understanding its economic impact. This study aims to examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014285706
Although Australian political pundits frequently make predictions about the future, little systematic evidence exists on the accuracy of these predictions. To assess the predictive power of experts, we survey the transcripts of two well-known political programs - Insiders and Meet the Press -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316995