avenue to measure and forecast regional economic activity. …

directional forecasts can provide a useful framework to assess the economic forecast value when loss functions (or success … directional forecast value is a readily available alternative to the commonly used squared error loss criterion. -- Directional … forecasts ; directional forecast value ; forecast evaluation ; economic forecast value ; mean squared forecast error ; mean …

We use past forecast errors to construct confidence intervals and other estimates of uncertainty around the Reserve … high. We find that the RBA's forecasts have substantial explanatory power for the inflation rate but not for GDP growth …

This paper presents a framework for quantifying uncertainty around point forecasts for GDP, inflation and house prices …

pronounced deceleration of GDP growth is forecast only for Poland and Russia, in both cases largely for domestic economic policy … revenues from energy exports, the GDP growth is clearly slowing down. The economies of the transition countries in Central and …

avenue to measure and forecast regional economic activity. …

avenue to measure and forecast regional economic activity …