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tool to identify and characterize expectations of business cycle phases for Germany, Spain, the Euro Area, and the European … more sensitive to international disturbances. Our results also reveal a lack of synchronization of the expectations across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865218
inflation expectations of firms and households. Our results reveal that the link between reporting about inflation and changes … in inflation expectations is time-dependent. During periods of intensive newspaper coverage of inflation developments, a … correlation with inflation expectations emerges that does not exist at other times. Such correlations are evident after the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014317116
This paper investigates the effects of inflation news coverage on market-based inflation expectations and outcomes in … regarding specific topics, exerts a significant influence on inflation compensation, expectations, and risk premiums. We observe … contributes to the understanding of media influence on financial markets, specifically in shaping inflation expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014376052
inflation expectations of firms and households. Our results reveal that the link between reporting about inflation and changes … in inflation expectations is time-dependent. During periods of intensive newspaper coverage of inflation developments, a … correlation with inflation expectations emerges that does not exist at other times. Such correlations are evident after the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014316793
This paper investigates the effects of inflation news coverage on market-based inflation expectations and outcomes in … regarding specific topics, exerts a significant influence on inflation compensation, expectations, and risk premiums. We observe … contributes to the understanding of media influence on financial markets, specifically in shaping inflation expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374818
interest rate rule, raising the possibility of inefficient fluctuations due to the dependence of expectations on extraneous … combine forward looking expectations and predetermined variables. We consider a variety of specifications that incorporate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298274
from individual expectations. Subjects have no information about underlying market equilibrium equations, but can learn by … stable treatment, rational expectations (RE) yield a good description of observed aggregate price fluctuations: prices remain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325029
This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean …-Michel Grandmont. In particular, my work on consistent expectations and behavioral learning equilibria may be seen as formalizations of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662516
.g. output, output per hour) and a positive correlation between long-run growth expectations and cyclical activities. Existing … features comovement and mutual influence of households' growth expectations and market outcomes, which can replicate the … evidence, and suggests a critical role for shifting long-run growth expectations in business cycle fluctuations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012058892
-level forecasts or household expectations. As an application, we employ a panel of Greek manufacturing firms and quantify firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014534410