election is unique in this regard; trade policy became a politically salient issue, and was treated as such during the … presidential election to identify the effect of electoral campaigns on the change in public support for trade in general and trade … agreements in particular. In contrast with the conventional wisdom, we find that the election and presidential campaigns not only …

This study applies Benford’s law to detect anomalies in county-level vote data for the 2020 US presidential election …

income for the period following a mid-term election, while the latter combines factors of incumbency and terms-in-office. The …. Applied to the 2012 election as a forecasting model the prediction is that President Obama will win 49,6 pct. of the two …

This paper analyzes stock market reactions to election polls. Stock markets anticipate the impact of events on future … cash flows. Current values depend on future cash flows and risk prospects. We posit that election polls are indications of … election, we hypothesize that stock market reacts negatively to the prospect of Barack Obama winning the election. We test this …

The change in elected officials’ behavior when an election nears has typically been attributed to incentive effects. I …