of GDP growth in Ukraine. We applied CSA and PCA approaches to construct indices of these partitions. We further derived … GDP growth distributions and explored their behavior under different scenarios. Results from the model with PCA indices … inverse regardless of quantile of GDP distribution. Moreover, we found that the financial conditions index has the largest …

In this paper, the authors develop a new tool to improve the short-term forecasting of real GDP growth in the euro area … usefulness of a wide range of indicators in predicting short-term real GDP growth. In line with previous Bank studies, the … results suggest that the purchasing managers' index (PMI) is among the best-performing indicators to forecast real GDP growth …

literature to analyse the real convergence, on the dynamics of GDP per capita expressed in case of EU by PPS (Purchasing Power … country or group of countries the dynamics of the ratio between the individual level of GDP per capita and the average EU GDP … per capita. Thus we evaluate how the position of a country it was changed relative to the average level in EU of GDP per …

capital. A central result is a pronounced projected decrease in human capital, substantially weighing on the long-run GDP …

, TARCH, NARCH, APARCH, EGARCH) to analyze quarterly time series of GDP and Government Consumption Expenditures & Gross … Literature, Limitations and Future Research, Gretl Scripts]. Additionally, I discovered a unique interaction between GDP and …, GDP responded positively and very significantly (0.00248) to GCEGI, while GCEGI reacted positively but not too …

to forecast GDP growth of the six largest member countries is developed, using quantile regressions to construct a … probability distribution of future GDP, as opposed to mean point forecasts. This approach allows uncertainty to be assessed …