We use dynamic panel analysis to examine whether credit rating agencies achieve what they claim to achieve, namely, look into the future when assigning their ratings. We find that Moody's ratings help predict individual financial ratios over a horizon of up to five years. Ratings also predict a...

Individual financial systems can be understood as very specific configurations of certain keyelements. Often these configurations remain unchanged for decades. We hypothesize that thereis a specific relationship between key elements, namely that of complementarity. Thus,complementarity seems to...

Rating agencies claim to look through the cycle when assigning corporate credit ratings,which entails that they are able to separate trend components of default risk from transitoryones. To test whether agencies possess this competence, I take market-based estimates of oneyeardefault...

This paper assesses whether ratings or market-based credit risk measures are more suitable forformulating portfolio governance rules. Such rules, which consist of buy and sell restrictions,are commonly used in investment management. Based on data from 1983 to 2002, it is notevident that one of...

Using a structural model of default, I derive rating characteristics if ratings are meant tolook ‘through the cycle’ as opposed to being based on the borrowers’ current condition.The through-the-cycle method, which is employed by most rating agencies, requires aseparation of permanent and...

Centralized cryptocurrency exchanges, which manage annual trading volumes on the scale of trillions of US dollars worldwide, are classified as virtual asset service providers (VASPs). They facilitate the exchange, custody, and transfer of cryptoassets organized in wallets across distributed...

Surveys on the use of agency credit ratings reveal that most investors believe that rating agencies are relatively slow in adjusting their ratings. (...)

This paper provides an overview on classical and new methods for testing time series properties of migration matrices. It is well known that due to cyclical behaviour of the economy transition matrices for many credit portfolios cannot be considered to be constant through time. Further,...

This paper aims at analysing the mortality patterns of hedge funds over the period January 1994 to May 2008. In particular, we investigate the extent to which a spillover of risk among hedge funds through redemptions and failures of other funds has affected the probability of fund failure. We...

A Central Counterparty (CCP) is an entity that interposes itself between transacting counterparties - a seller vis-à-vis the original buyer and a buyer vis-àvis the original seller - to guarantee execution of the transaction.Thus, the original transacting parties substitute their contractual...