This paper explores the use of the anchoring and adjustment heuristic by decision makers in a financial market; in particular, the degree to which horserace bettors anchor their probability judgments on the advantage afforded by a horse's barrier-position. The results suggest that under certain...

This paper explores the use of the anchoring and adjustment heuristic by decision makers in a financial market; in particular, the degree to which horserace bettors anchor their probability judgments on the advantage afforded by a horse‟s barrier-position. The results suggest that under...

Finding what causes pricing anomalies is an important step towards improving market efficiency. The favourite-longshot bias is one of the longest-standing pricing anomalies in state-contingent claims markets. However, existing models are unable to capture its full complexity. We develop a...