What do you do with scenarios? -- Problems with the practice of strategic and scenario planning -- Methods for developing scenarios -- Seven approaches to using scenarios -- Connecting scenarios to a purpose -- Generating strategies -- Windtunneling strategies with scenarios -- Testing decisions...

This Element infuses established scenario planning routines with an exploration of cognitive reasoning, by contextualising scenario thinking within the wider human endeavour of grappling with future uncertainties. A study of ancient civilisations shows that scenario thinking is not new, but has...