The last decade's boom and bust in U.S. commercial real estate (CRE) prices was at least as large as that in the housing market and also had a large effect on bank failures. Nevertheless, the role of CRE in the Great Recession has received little attention. This study estimates cohesive models...

For most of the past decades, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region has experienced rapid expansion, driven largely by increasing energy revenues, and growth-focused government policies. As the region's population increases in size, and becomes wealthier and more urbanized, significant...

The last decade's boom and bust in U.S. commercial real estate (CRE) prices was at least as large as that in the housing market and contributed significantly to bank failures. Nevertheless, the role of CRE in the Great Recession has received little attention. This study estimates cohesive models...

How different is real estate from stocks and bonds? This paper sheds light on this question with new data and new methods. Analyzing 10,848 commercial properties from 1977 to 2017, we find that properties' risk premiums contain systematic components that are orthogonal to a comprehensive list of...

We propose a technique to infer cash flow yields for investment assets whose trades are infrequent, but for which cash flow data is available. We construct a Self-Propagating Rolling-Window Panel VAR framework, adapted from a Dynamic Gordon Growth Model setup. We use this framework to estimate...

The article analyzes the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on commercial real estate prices. We start by highlighting caveats to bear in mind when referring to direct real estate indices. We then analyze the behavior of commercial real estate prices during the pandemic, emphasizing differences...

We study the impact of the 2005-2015 international student boom in US universities on local housing markets. By constructing a sample of American college towns characterizing rarely studied local markets in small urban areas, we show that international students exogenously sustained demand for...

The confluence of three trends in the U.S. residential housing market - rising home prices, declining interest rates, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities - led to vastly increased systemic risk in the financial system. Individually, each of these trends is benign, but when they occur...

A healthy financial system encourages the efficient allocation of capital and risk. The collapse of the house price bubble led to the financial crisis that started in 2007. There is a large empirical literature concerning the relation between asset price bubbles and financial crises. I evaluate...

Using quarterly data over 1973:4-2008:2, two-variable systems of house prices and income are specified for three major house-owning economies: New Zealand (N.Z.), the U.K. and the U.S. After considering differences in price−income relationships over sub-periods, the analysis compares responses...