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This paper studies how the Baker, Bloom and Davis (2013) new measure capturing economic policy uncertainty (EPU) is related to stock market performance in the United States. We use a variety of methods to estimate different specifications. We find that an increase in the EPU index negatively...
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Do politicians' communications contain new information that may be useful and valuable to investors? We conduct a textual analysis of 524 presidents' speeches given between 1897 and 2010 in the U.S. to examine this question. Presidential speeches reflect the president's and advisers' views on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931580
This article documents that political factors can be linked to that part of stock prices which cannot be explained by the standard present value models. The nonfundamental component of stock market index appears to be significantly influenced by the political orientation of the president and his...
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As was establihed in Llorenteetal (2001) the dynamic relationship between return and volume is a function of information asymmetry. This study extends their analysis by linking the volume induced return auto correlarion coefficients with the level of disclosed insider trading. Using New Zealand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296353
This paper investigates a sample of 27 OECD countries to test whether national elections induce higher stock market volatility. It is found that the countryspecific component of index return variance can easily double during the week around an Election Day, which shows that investors are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296356
Prior research documented that U.S. stock prices tend to grow faster during Democratic administrations than during Republican administrations. This letter examines whether stock returns in other countries also depend on the political orientation of the incumbents. An analysis of 24 stock markets...
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