We show that expected returns on US stocks and all major stock world market indices are non-linearly dependent on previous returns. The expected sign of returns tends to reverse after large price movements and trends tend to continue after small movements. This property can be captured by a...

We show that expected returns on US stocks and all major global stock market indices have a particular form of non-linear dependence on previous returns. The expected sign of returns tends to reverse after large price movements and trends tend to continue after small movements. The observed...

This paper investigates the impact of Brexit events on the behaviour of 34 financial indices from 1st January 2012 to 26th April 2017. Our focus is to evaluate whether the impact of Brexit on financial markets is consistent with rational asset pricing models. The empirical research uses a...