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fluctuations not forecasted by Gaussian models. This paper applies a resampling method based on the bootstrap and a bias …-correction step to improve Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasting ability of the n-EGARCH (normal EGARCH) model and correct the VaR for both … long and short positions. Our aim is to utilize the advantages of this model, but still use the bootstrap resampling method …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011632622
We examine how sensitive the new performance indexes incorporating high moments and disaster risk are to disaster risk …. The new performance indexes incorporating high moments and disaster risk are the Aumann-Serrano performance index and … underlying risk. We show, by numerical examples and empirical examples, how sensitive these indexes are to disaster risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483189
We compare more than 1000 different volatility models in terms of their fit to the historical ISE-100 Index data and their forecasting performance of the conditional variance in an out-of-sample setting. Exponential GARCH model of Nelson (1991) with “constant mean, t-distribution, one lag...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159436
An intensive and still growing body of research focuses on estimating a portfolio’s Value-at-Risk.Depending on both the … orhistorical and Monte Carlo simulation methods. Although these approaches to overall VaR estimation have receivedsubstantial … proposed estimation approach pairs intuitiveappeal with computational efficiency. We evaluate various alternative estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301159
Diversification of financial securities is considered a substantial element of portfolio risk. In this context, the … construction of an optimal portfolio is an ongoing concern for portfolio managers. This study measures the risk-reward tradeoffs … risk for DAX, MDAX, and CAC40 decreases from joining a common hypothetical stock market, while for FTSE100, FTSE MIB, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013277308
-frequency intraday returns. It disentangles covariance estimation into variance and correlation components. This allows to estimate … covariance estimation and the jump robustness of the estimator are illustrated in a simulation study. In an application to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115577
with Sharpe's ratio, offering an approach to point and confidence interval estimation which employs bootstrap resampling …The Sharpe ratio is a common financial performance measure that represents the optimal risk versus return of an … issues surrounding its statistical properties. Given the importance of obtaining robust determinations of risk versus return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009536151
We present an empirical study of the Aumann-Serrano performance index for multi-period gambles when the underlying stochastic process is assumed to be a normal mixture process with time-varying volatility. We compare the Aumann-Serrano performance index for multi-period gambles with that for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388236
irrelevant for stocks with extremely high risk. This study finds that the SAI in India explains the variation in the excess …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013183936
situations it is better to renounce parameter estimation altogether and pursue some trivial strategy such as the totally risk … ; Naive diversification ; Out-ofsample performance ; Risk function ; Shrinkage estimation …In the present work I derive the risk functions of 5 standard estimators for expected asset returns which are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008939385