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This paper examines the strategic interactions of two large regions making choices about greenhouse gas emissions in the face of rising global temperatures. A focus is on three central features of the problem: uncertainty, the incentive for free riding, and asymmetric characteristics of decision...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899158
This paper develops a model of a profit maximizing firm with the option to exploit a non-renewable resource, choosing the timing and pace of development. The resource price is modelled as a regime switching process, which is calibrated to oil futures prices. A Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938381
This paper uses a real options approach to examine the impact of ramping rate restrictions imposed on hydro operations to protect aquatic ecosystems. We consider the effect on profits from electricity generation in order to inform policy decisions about ramping rate restrictions. A novelty of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043110
This paper investigates whether convenience yield is an important factor in determining optimal decisions for a forestry investment. The Kalman filter method is used to estimate three different models of lumber prices: a mean reverting model, a simple geometric Brownian motion and the two-factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917202
Large water demands by the mining industry are of increasing concern around the world. The cost of a specific water management regulation is studied for an oil sands mining operation in Canada, where restrictions on water withdrawals vary with fluctuations in the river. A stochastic optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216333
The optimal management of a non-renewable resource extraction project is studied when input and output prices follow correlated stochastic processes. The decision problem is specified by two Bellman equations describing the project when it is currently operating or mothballed. Solutions are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079693
This paper compares two well-known approaches for valuing a risky investment using real options theory:contingent claims (CC) with risk neutral valuation and dynamic programming (DP) using a constant risk adjusted discount rate.Both approaches have been used in valuing forest assets.A proof is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014219615
This article develops a two-factor real options model of the harvesting decision over infinite rotations assuming a known stochastic price process and using a rigorous Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman methodology. The harvesting problem is formulated as a linear complementarity problem that is solved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061113