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Автор выявил сильные связи циклов мирового продукта (1961–2014 гг.), ВВП США (1867–2014 гг.), ВВП Великобритании (1893–2013гг.), индекса промышленного производства России...
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Economic Recovery in the Euro Area has lost momentum in the second half of 2015. Due to dampening effects from the world economy and a marked increase in political uncertainty, a number of sentiment indicators also point downwards. Nevertheless, domestic demand increased rather strongly, while...
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The appropriately selected leading indicators can substantially improve the forecasting of the peaks and troughs of the business cycle. Using the novel methodology of the dynamic bi-factor model with Markov switching and the data for three largest European economies (France, Germany, and UK) we...
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