Model uncertainty remains a persistent concern when exploring the drivers of civil conflict and civil war. Considering a comprehensive set of 34 potential determinants in 175 post-Cold-War countries (covering 98.2% of the world population), we employ stochastic search variable selection (SSVS)...

The gravity model is a workhorse tool that has been widely used in international trade. However, one empirical question that frequently arises is related to the conceptualization and measurement of distance. To overcome this limitation, our study proposes an index of distance based on...

Currently, the world is facing a continuous process of integration in di fferent aspects and fi nancial markets are no exception to this development. Despite the fact that global integration is gradual, one can fi nd some specfi c events that might help to accelerate this trend. This paper shows...

Stationarity is a common assumption in statistical inference when data come from a random field, but this hypothesis has to be checked. In this paper, we build a frequency domain statistical test to check a unit root for a spatial autoregressive model, and find its asymptotic distribution....

Identifying the true determinants of export diversification is difficult as there exists no comprehensive theoretical or empirical framework to capture all potential factors in their entirety. This paper uses Bayesian Model Averaging to uncover the true long-term roots of export diversification...

In this paper, we estimate a dynamic panel data model to determine the effect of various institutional factors on the performance of a sample of Colombian companies during the period 2002-2007. Our results indicate that the analyzed companies are affected by these factors. Institutions...

In this paper we analyze the effect of four possible alternatives regarding the prior distributions in a linear model with autoregressive errors to predict piped water consumption: Normal-Gamma, Normal-Scaled Beta two, Studentized-Gamma and Student's t-Scaled Beta two. We show the effects of...

This paper establishes the consequences of a wrong specification on the quality of the data envelopment analysis. Specifically, the case of omitting a relevant variable in the input oriented problem is analyzed when there are different correlation structures between the inputs. It is established...

Spanish Abstract: En este artículo se realiza una caracterización cuantitativa de la demanda de cupos universitarios por parte de bachilleres egresados de ciudades intermedias. Esto se realiza a través de modelos de elección discreta. Específicamente se encuentra que el número de programas...

We develop and estimate a full information maximum likelihood ordered categorical response model with endogenous switching. Simulation exercises show that estimated parameters are unbias and consistent. And application to Internet access indicates that there are selection and moral hazard