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This paper sheds light on the differences and similarities in natural gas trading at the National Balancing Point in the UK and the Henry Hub located in the US. For this, we analyze traders' expectations and implement a mechanical forecasting model that allows traders to predict future spot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067409
Motivated by the initiation of the third EU ETS trading period in January 2013, this paper examines the effects of EUA price variations on the electricity mix. We focus on the German electricity market, since it is one of the most important EU electricity markets. In this context, we formulate a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046892
This paper investigates the reaction of credit default swaps spreads to changes in rating class, outlook, and watchlist entries for sovereigns. We find a stronger response to negative outlook and watchlist changes than for actual rating class downgrades, which shows that negative outlook and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061155
This paper examines the 2010 entry of Dagong Global Credit Rating into the sovereign credit ratings market. We investigate the driving factors of Dagong and of the three incumbent rating agencies, Standard & Poor's, Moody's Investors Service and Fitch Ratings. We find significant differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046893
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We analyze the relation between European natural gas storage facilities and price patterns at major trading points, considering the theory of storage to derive a testable hypothesis imposed by the non-arbitrage condition. To model the efficiency of the natural gas market, we apply two indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265029
In 2004, European competition law had been faced with considerable changes due to the introduction of the new Council Regulation No. 1/2003. One of the major renewals was the replacement of the centralized notification system for inter-company cooperations in favor of a so-called legal exemption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267040
This paper shows with a formal model that under monopoly regulation, OPEX-risk can be a source for a CAPEX-bias. If OPEX and CAPEX are substitutes, the regulated firm can reduce the risk of the firm and thereby reduce the true cost of capital by rebalancing OPEX and CAPEX. If the allowed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271260