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We propose an innovative methodology for decomposing the value added generated by a money manager within a given assessment interval into the contributions of the manager's investment decisions made in the various periods, in order to identify the most (and the least) impactful period decisions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404532
The aim of this paper is to develop a hedging methodology for making a portfolio of options delta, vega and gamma neutral by taking positions in other available options, and simultaneously minimizing the net premium to be paid for the hedging. A quadratic programming solution for the problem is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015220452
This is a summary of the paper entitled : “The Mean Squared Prediction Error Paradox”. In that paper, we show that traditional comparisons of Mean Squared Prediction Error (MSPE) between two competing forecasts may be highly controversial. This is so because when some specific conditions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015229363
We present a simple model of a non-equilibrium self-organizing market where asset prices are partially driven by investment decisions of a bounded-rational agent. The agent acts in a stochastic market environment driven by various exogenous "alpha" signals, agent's own actions (via market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919878
Presented is the formulation for determining the exact, expected growth-optimal fraction of equity to risk for all conditions, rather than merely the asymptotic growth-optimal fraction. The formulation presented represents the surface in the leverage space manifold, wherein the loci at the peak...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904410
Realized divergence gauges the distinct realized moments associated with time-varying uncertainty and is tradeable with divergence swaps engineered from delta-hedged option portfolios. Consistently with established notions of symmetry in arbitrage-free option markets, implied divergence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507861
We consider the randomness of market trade as the origin of price and return stochasticity. We look at time series of trade values and volumes as random variables during the averaging interval Δ and describe the dependences of market-based volatilities of price and return on the volatilities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015213603
This paper presents probability distributions for price and returns random processes for averaging time interval Δ. These probabilities determine properties of price and returns volatility. We define statistical moments for price and returns random processes as functions of the costs and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015216164
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913510
Duration is an important parameter used by investors to choose between different investment opportunities in financial economics. While the concept of duration is usually associated with fixed-income assets, its expansion to the equity assets is becoming more relevant in the recent period, due...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239113