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Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification that allows the long-term correlation component to be a function of multiple … explanatory variables, we show that the stock-bond correlation in the US, the UK, Germany, France, and Italy is mainly driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011745369
volatilities and the stock-bond correlation. I show that the stock-bond correlation increases in interest rate volatility and … decreases in cash-flow volatility. These results qualitatively explain the historical variation in the stock-bond correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917061
Investors rely on the stock-bond correlation for a variety of tasks, such as forming optimal portfolios, designing … hedging strategies, and assessing risk. Most investors estimate the stock-bond correlation simply by extrapolating the … historical correlation of monthly returns and assume that this correlation best characterizes the correlation of future, annual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225162
Using a high-frequency dataset, we analyze the effects of risk-aversion and real-time macroeconomic variables on both conditional variances and stock-bond correlations in the Eurozone. We use a generalized DCCX model for correlations and a GARCHX model for variances in order to separate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120613
The paper estimates constant conditional correlation (CCC) GARCH models to test whether the dramatic changes in stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010139
We study the economic sources of stock-bond return comovement and its time variation using a dynamic factor model. We identify the economic factors employing structural and non-structural vector autoregressive models for economic state variables such as interest rates, (expected) inflation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132852
This paper documents a strong association between stock-bond (SB) correlations and monetary policy regimes for a sample of 10 developed markets. Negative stock-bond correlations are associated with periods of accommodating monetary policy, but only in times of low inflation. Irrespective of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942991
The correlation between stock and bond returns is a cornerstone of asset allocation decisions. The correlation can move … and magnitude of the stock-bond correlation. Our historical analyses across countries suggest that our findings are robust …. We apply these insights to analyze the implications of a shift in stock-bond correlation regime for the risk of multi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349506
the time-varying correlation between stock and bond returns. The results indicate that stock and bond prices move in the … same direction during periods of high inflation expectations, while epochs of negative stock-bond return correlation seem …, it is found that the stock-bond return correlation is virtually unaffected by economic growth expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131459
the time-varying correlation of US stock and bond returns. Key ingredients are time-varying first and second moments of … macroeconomic volatility. This generates a positive correlation between dividend yields and nominal yields and between stock and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014209829