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This study investigates whether the timely revelation of bad earnings news is associated with a lower incidence of litigation. The timeliness of earnings news is captured by a new measure based on the evolution of the consensus analyst earnings forecast. Holding total bad earnings news and other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014044962
By decomposing analysts' forecast errors into common and idiosyncratic components, we develop a simple model aimed at explaining the relationship between forecast uncertainty and analyst dispersion. Under this framework, we propose a new measure of earnings forecast uncertainty as the sum of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138826
Relying on the well-established theoretical result that uncertainty has a common and an idiosyncratic component, we propose a new measure of earnings forecast uncertainty as the sum of dispersion among analysts and the variance of mean forecast errors estimated by a GARCH model. The new measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113627
This study seeks to determine whether earnings announcements pose non-diversifiable volatility risk that commands a … risk premium. We find that investors anticipate some earnings announcements to convey news that increases market return … volatility and pay a premium to hedge this non-diversifiable risk. In particular, we find evidence of risk premiums embedded in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010205852
To provide evidence on the role macroeconomic uncertainty plays in managers' decision to issue management earnings forecasts (MFs) this study develops and tests hypotheses about how such uncertainty affects the issuance and characteristics of MFs. Macroeconomic uncertainty is measured using the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940635
We revisit the literature on using accounting earnings to estimate firm-level systematic risk, using macroeconomic … indicators rather than listed-firm indexes to measure aggregate risk. Conventional listed-firm indexes reflect an … unrepresentative subset of aggregate assets and thus are expected to substantially mis-measure aggregate and systematic risk (Roll …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849224
We develop a measure of how information events impact investors' perceptions of risk that is broadly applicable and … simultaneously conveys information on the announcer's expected future cash flows and risk profile. We empirically implement the … forecasting power for firms' risk-factor exposures, implied costs of capital, liquidity, and future investments. We also apply our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012244502
earnings affect a firm's default risk. Our results indicate that in the era of fair value accounting, whether the dividend … payment originates from unrealized or realized earnings has a significant effect on a firm's default risk above and beyond the … effect of the extent of the payment. Specifically, controlling for various determinants of financial risk, including the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933216
This study examines whether idiosyncratic risk significantly affects earnings quality in non-financial companies listed … on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Research on developing countries, especially Indonesia, which links idiosyncratic risk …, which is the residual value of the Kasznik and Dechow-Dichev model, and idiosyncratic risk, which is measured based on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014440932
This study finds that the introduction of the Current Expected Credit Loss (CECL) model, which requires banks to estimate forward-looking loan loss provisions, is associated with a slower resolution of investor disagreement and uncertainty at earnings announcements. We interpret this finding to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256883