Müller, Patrick A.; Stahlberg, Dagmar - Sonderforschungsbereich 504 "Rationalitätskonzepte, …; … - 2007
Hindsight bias is the well researched phenomenon that people falsely believe that they would have correctly predicted the outcome of an event once it is known. In recent years, several authors have doubted the ubiquity of the effect and have reported a reversal under certain conditions. This...