Climate mitigation scenarios are an essential tool for analyzing the macroeconomic and financial implications of climate change (physical risk), and how the transition to a low-carbon economy could unfold (transition risk). The Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) has co-developed a...

This paper presents a comprehensive framework for analyzing financial stress under scenarios with a disruptive transition to a low-carbon economy. This stress testing framework is designed to be readily applied by macroprudential supervisors or financial institutions. First, we construct stress...

The role of finance in the low-carbon transition, as well as the deep uncertainty and endogeneity of climate finance risk, are currently neglected by climate economic models. This leads to a false sense of control in terms of risks and opportunities associated with the low-carbon transition....