The initial release of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) in early 2001 pointed to the very real possibility that the U.S. economy was teetering on the brink of recession. This article quantifies the statistical ability of the CFNAI to act as an early warning indicator of economic...

In this study, I look at whether individuals treat overweight workers differently from slender workers when deliberating about bonuses and promotions. Using a nationally representative sample of over 1700 subjects, I experimentally vary the performance ratings and the apparent weight of...

Background: Although sons are thought to impose greater physiological costs on mothers than daughters, sons may be advantageous for parental survival in some social contexts. We examined the relationship between the sex composition of offspring and parental survival in contemporary China and...