Do equity prices efficiently reflect fundamental information as the Efficient Markets Hypothesis suggests? The author challenges a widely held acceptance by financial academicians of the EMH. In a frictionless environment, information acquisition and trading would be costless, transaction prices...

The finance industry has grown. Financial markets have become more liquid. Information technology has improved. But have prices become more informative? Using stock and bond prices to forecast earnings, we find that the information content of market prices has not increased since 1960. The...

The finance industry has grown, financial markets have become more liquid, information technology has been revolutionized. But have financial market prices become more informative? We derive a welfare-based measure of price informativeness: the predicted variation of future cash flows from...