This paper uses a long-run identifying restrictions on a three-variable system containing output growth, real wage growth and the unemployment rate, to isolate three "structural" shocks which drove business cycle fluctuations in a sample of 16 OECD countries during 1950-94.

In this ppaer we extend the Uzawa-Lucas endogenous growth model by including housing along three directions: as a households' provider of services and application for savings, as a productive sector (construction), and as an input in education and training activities. The consequences of this...

We analyze the effect of a constant debt policy on capital accumulation and provide an indepth treatment of the dynamics in the economy of Diamond. We derive the conditions for avoiding a debt crisis in both the short-run and the long-run and provide geometrical tools to analyze the issue of...

This paper investigates a model with tachnological cycles induced by shifts in technologies. The key feature is that technological development occurs partly by discrete replacement of obsolete technologies, partly by continuous innovation of components for a pervasive general purpose technology....

In 1994-97 Poland has recorded an outstanding economic performance in terms of GDP growth, simultaneous reduction of inflation and unemployment, fiscal balance, zloty real revaluation, capacity restructuring, private sector growth and institution building. The Polish success needed a market...

This paper analyzes regime shifts in the stochastic process of economic growth of six major OECD countries over three decades. For the statistical measurement of the underlying global business cycle, we generalize Hamilton's model of the US business cycle to a Markov-switching vector...

In a dynamic general equilibrium setup, this paper highlights the role of vintages and creative destruction in business fluctuations. By stressing the forward-looking characteristic of the optimal scrapping rule, we use a standard rational expectations argument to show the constancy of the...